Question

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction65% (60% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 65%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Dec 12, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 3, 2030

Trump and Maduro refresh a complex relationship governed by self-interest and tainted by Venezuela election fraud

The Conversation•Feb 13, 2025

Will Trump Step Up Attacks on Venezuela?

Consortium News•Feb 16, 2025

US Military Meddles in Venezuela-Guyana Dispute, on Behalf of Imperialism

CounterPunch•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will Brazil respond with military forces?

20%

Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

60%

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