Group

Will Biren or Moore Threads be publicly traded before 2028?

13 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Moore Threads

Biren

Make a Prediction

Company		My Prediction		Me
Moore Threads	44%

Biren	36.8%

Authors:

RyanBeck DerMannOhneEigenschaften

Opened:

Dec 6, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2028

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck DerMannOhneEigenschaften

Opened:

Dec 6, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2028

Scale AI’s 28-Year-Old Billionaire CEO Warns About This Scarily Good Chinese Startup

Observer (NY)•Jan 25, 2025

Nvidia Stock May Fall As DeepSeek’s ‘Amazing’ AI Model Disrupts OpenAI

Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

DeepSeek ‘punctures’ AI leaders’ spending plans, and what analysts are saying

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

55%