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When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

Forecast Timeline

5,000 bases

10,000 bases

Make a Prediction

	25th	median	75th
5,000 bases	2027-09 ...	2028-10 ...	2030-03 ...
10,000 bases	2028-07 ...	2030-03 ...	2032-05 ...

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2040-01

...

2027-09

2028-10

2030-03

1.3%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Threat Initiative

Biochemistry

Biotechnology

Oligonucleotide synthesis

Artificial gene synthesis

DNA synthesis

Genetics

Synthetic biology

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

189k

When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?

2044-10

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Threat Initiative

Biochemistry

Biotechnology

Oligonucleotide synthesis

Artificial gene synthesis

DNA synthesis

Genetics

Synthetic biology

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How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

189k

When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?

2044-10

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When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?

Comments

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?