Question

Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025?

Resolved :No0.1%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 0.2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

97.1

Community Peer Score

2.9

Authors:

deKlik

Opened:

Feb 3, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Sam Altman’s OpenAI launches GPT-4.5 with fewer ‘hallucinations’ as AI race heats up

New York Post•Mar 1, 2025

The Complicated Relationship Between Sam Altman and Donald Trump

Atlantic•Mar 1, 2025

New parent Sam Altman says his proudest accomplishment is no longer OpenAI

Business Insider•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026?

Will Sam Altman Use Microsoft Teams before 2026?

17%

Before 2026, will OpenAI's commercial operations cease to be governed by its nonprofit board of directors?

89%

Comments

? comments