conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
Major State Exits EU before 2027? | Date EU Ceases to Exist? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2053 | — |
| median | 2066 | — |
| upper 75% | 2076 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2200-12-31 | 0.1% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 12, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2201
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Dec 12, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2201
