Date EU Ceases to Exist?

conditional

condition

War in Europe by 2153?

4 forecasters

if yes

if no

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2112-03-06

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2144-07-03

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War in Europe by 2153?	Date EU Ceases to Exist?
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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2200-12-31

...

2098-05-16 13:08

2112-03-06 09:15

2126-09-02 08:45

9.6%

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Forecast Timeline

if No

if Yes

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Article 102 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union

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Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Article 102 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union

Map Shows Possible WWIII Frontlines if Russia Invaded Europe

Newsweek•Dec 14, 2024

We Are One-Quarter Through War's Last Century

OpEdNews•Dec 21, 2024

Another Islamic terror attack on a European Christmas market

American Thinker•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

European Army before 2032? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

48%

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War in Europe by 2153?

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Make a Prediction

War in Europe by 2153?

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Forecast Timeline

European Army before 2032? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

EU and US Cut Diplomatic Ties before 2051? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Comments

European Army before 2032? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

EU and US Cut Diplomatic Ties before 2051? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

European Army before 2032? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

EU and US Cut Diplomatic Ties before 2051? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

European Army before 2032? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

EU and US Cut Diplomatic Ties before 2051? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?