Date EU Ceases to Exist?

conditional

condition

European Army before 2032?

if yes

if no

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2142-01-03

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2142-10-26

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Make a Prediction

European Army before 2032?	Date EU Ceases to Exist?
if yes	My Prediction: -
if no	My Prediction: -

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2200-12-31

...

2119-01-16 04:39

2142-01-03 16:15

2194-03-19 15:50

23.5%

Forecast Timeline

Yes

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Article 102 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union

War in Europe by 2153? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Major State Exits EU before 2027? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Will there be a European Army before 2032?

38%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Article 102 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union

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AntiWar•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

War in Europe by 2153? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Major State Exits EU before 2027? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Will there be a European Army before 2032?

38%