Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

conditional
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Closed
29 forecasters
if yes
if no

10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?

75%
75%

10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?

61%
61%
4
8

Make a Prediction

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?

50%
community: 75%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Dumbledores_Army
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
2021-2025 Leaderboard
China
United Kingdom
India
Pakistan
Iran
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
France
United States
Israel

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