10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?

conditional

condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Closed

29 forecasters

if yes

if no

10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?

75%

10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?

61%

8 comments8

Make a Prediction

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)	10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 75%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

Dumbledores_Army

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → New Nuclear-Armed State by 2030?

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Trump in power beyond 2028?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Dumbledores_Army

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

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