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8
29 forecasters
4
8 comments
29 forecasters
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner?

Resolved:Yes
29 forecasters
if yes
if no

10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?

75%
75%

10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?

61%
61%
Resolved:Annulled
if Yes75%
if No60.6%
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