Question

Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales, during the next Parliament?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction20% (5% - 22.1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Dec 28, 2023

Closes:

Feb 15, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 22, 2030

Politics

United Kingdom

Office for National Statistics (UK)

Wales

England

Work on up to 12 new towns in England to begin by next election, says Starmer

Guardian•Feb 13, 2025

UK housing crisis: what does Labour’s shake-up of planning rules involve?

Guardian•Feb 16, 2025

Housing must take priority over nature, says Starmer in green belt reform plan

Guardian•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will England build at least 1.5 million new homes over the current parliamentary term?

19%

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

35%

Will NHS England deliver an extra two million operations, scans, and appointments each year within the current Westminster parliament?

75%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Dec 28, 2023

Closes:

Feb 15, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 22, 2030

Politics

United Kingdom

Office for National Statistics (UK)

Wales

England

Work on up to 12 new towns in England to begin by next election, says Starmer

Guardian•Feb 13, 2025

UK housing crisis: what does Labour’s shake-up of planning rules involve?

Guardian•Feb 16, 2025

Housing must take priority over nature, says Starmer in green belt reform plan

Guardian•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will England build at least 1.5 million new homes over the current parliamentary term?

19%

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

35%

Will NHS England deliver an extra two million operations, scans, and appointments each year within the current Westminster parliament?

75%