Question
Will the US Supreme Court issue a decision on hearing the case about presidential immunity before January 1, 2024?
Resolved :Yes44%Total Forecasters65
Community Prediction44% (26% - 70%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
-19.3
Community Peer Score
14.5
Fine Print
median 44.0%mean 50.0%
Authors:
Opened:Dec 14, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
When will the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (election subversion case)
2026-01-01
Closes Jan 1, 2026
When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)
2026-01-01
Closes Dec 31, 2025
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1%
Closes Dec 31, 2029
Comments
33 comments
Authors:
Opened:Dec 14, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
When will the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (election subversion case)
2026-01-01
Closes Jan 1, 2026
When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)
2026-01-01
Closes Dec 31, 2025
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1%
Closes Dec 31, 2029
citizen
·