Question
What vote percentage will Sadiq Khan win in the 2024 London mayoral election?
Resolved :43.849.3Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction49.3 (46.9 - 51.5)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <30 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 46.9 | — |
| median | 49.26 | — |
| upper 75% | 51.54 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >70 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?43.8
Community Baseline Score
6.6
Community Peer Score
7.2
Authors:
Opened:Mar 23, 2024
Closes:May 1, 2024
Resolves:May 4, 2024
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 23, 2024
Closes:May 1, 2024
Resolves:May 4, 2024
