Question

When will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact come into effect?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters6

Community Prediction2043-03-03

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2074-01-01

...

2034-11-26 15:27

2043-03-03 13:25

2061-06-08 02:28

18.2%

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

US Electoral College

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

18%

In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?

49.5

How Many States or Jurisdictions Will Decide the 2024 US Presidential Election?

3.87

Comments

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Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

US Electoral College

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

18%

In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?

49.5

How Many States or Jurisdictions Will Decide the 2024 US Presidential Election?

3.87