Question

Before 2024, will it be announced that either of the Harvard or MIT presidents will vacate their positions?

Resolved :No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters80

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

90.5

Community Peer Score

7.7

median 1.0%mean 2.6%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Sally Kornbluth

Harvard University

Claudine Gay

Will current use gifts to Harvard decrease for fiscal year 2025 relative to fiscal year 2023?

62%

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

50%

Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026?

50.4%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Sally Kornbluth

Harvard University

Claudine Gay

'Wanted' posters plastered around University of Rochester target Jewish faculty members

USA Today•Nov 14, 2024

Campuses are ground zero in debates about antisemitism − but that’s been true for 100 years

The Conversation•Nov 15, 2024

Police investigating pro-Palestinian vandalism at home of University of Washington president

Independent•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will current use gifts to Harvard decrease for fiscal year 2025 relative to fiscal year 2023?

62%

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

50%

Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026?

50.4%