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What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

2 comments2

3 forecasters

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Year	25th	median	75th
2025	122 ...	128 ...	137 ...
2026	127 ...	133 ...	141 ...
2027	129 ...	132 ...	136 ...
2030	133 ...	148 ...	163 ...
2040	146 ...	164 ...	179 ...
2050	141 ...	176 ...	208 ...

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>250

...

122.4

128

137.1

0.1%

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Forecast Timeline

2050

2040

2030

2026

2027

2025

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

National debt of the United States

Gross domestic product

United States

Debt-to-GDP ratio

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How much will the U.S. government spend, as a percentage of GDP, in the following years?

37.4

Will US Household-Debt-to-GDP surpass 100% before 2033?

48.7%

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

2.12

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

National debt of the United States

Gross domestic product

United States

Debt-to-GDP ratio

What is the debt ceiling? What has Trump said about the US debt limit? What to know.

USA Today•Dec 20, 2024

'Unsustainable Fiscal Trajectory': As the National Debt Continues to Soar, Do Our Leaders Really Care?

Red State•Dec 13, 2024

Will credit card rates climb in 2025? Experts weigh in

CBS•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How much will the U.S. government spend, as a percentage of GDP, in the following years?

37.4

Will US Household-Debt-to-GDP surpass 100% before 2033?

48.7%

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

2.12

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What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

Make a Prediction

Forecast Timeline

How much will the U.S. government spend, as a percentage of GDP, in the following years?

Will US Household-Debt-to-GDP surpass 100% before 2033?

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

Comments

How much will the U.S. government spend, as a percentage of GDP, in the following years?

Will US Household-Debt-to-GDP surpass 100% before 2033?

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

How much will the U.S. government spend, as a percentage of GDP, in the following years?

Will US Household-Debt-to-GDP surpass 100% before 2033?

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

How much will the U.S. government spend, as a percentage of GDP, in the following years?

Will US Household-Debt-to-GDP surpass 100% before 2033?

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?