Question

Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?

Resolved :Yes75%

16 comments16

Total Forecasters431

Community Prediction75% (70% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

12.1

Community Peer Score

28.1

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Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Economy & Business

2024 Leaderboard

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

US applications for jobless benefits rise to highest level in 2 months but remain relatively low

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Americans will likely get one more interest rate cut this week before the year closes out

Business Insider•Dec 17, 2024

Wall Street sees 'slower' pace of Fed rate cuts in 2025

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

4.04

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

0.1%

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.79

Comments

? comments

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Economy & Business

2024 Leaderboard

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

US applications for jobless benefits rise to highest level in 2 months but remain relatively low

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Americans will likely get one more interest rate cut this week before the year closes out

Business Insider•Dec 17, 2024

Wall Street sees 'slower' pace of Fed rate cuts in 2025

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

4.04

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

0.1%

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.79

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Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?

Make a Prediction

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

Comments

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?