Question

Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters476

Community Prediction45%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

median 45.0%mean 43.6%

Authors:

christian

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Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Will there be any attempted faithless electors in the 2024 Presidential Election?

19%

2024 US election considered fraudulent? → Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Election 2024: Signals, Shifts, and What’s at Stake for American Democracy

•Nov 13, 2024

What did states vote for in November 2024?

American Thinker•Nov 13, 2024

14 of Trump’s fake electors are now real: where do the state investigations stand?

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be any attempted faithless electors in the 2024 Presidential Election?

19%

2024 US election considered fraudulent? → Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

15%