Question

Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

291 comments291

Total Forecasters1126

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 3.4%

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Will the Ukraine missile crisis change the course of the war?

Guardian•Nov 24, 2024

Trump might be able to get Ukraine and Russia to stop fighting. A real peace is harder.

Business Insider•Nov 24, 2024

'No Chance' Ukraine Gets Back Russia-Annexed Lands—Blackwater Founder

Newsweek•Nov 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

2025-11-22

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? → Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Will the Ukraine missile crisis change the course of the war?

Guardian•Nov 24, 2024

Trump might be able to get Ukraine and Russia to stop fighting. A real peace is harder.

Business Insider•Nov 24, 2024

'No Chance' Ukraine Gets Back Russia-Annexed Lands—Blackwater Founder

Newsweek•Nov 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

2025-11-22