🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

Resolved :No0.3%
45
305
Total Forecasters1135
Community Prediction0.3% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
85.4
Community Peer Score
24.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
christian
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Geopolitics
2024-2025 Leaderboard
Russo-Ukrainian War
Ukraine
Russia

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