Question

Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?

Resolved :No1%

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Community Prediction1% (0.5% - 1.5%)

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50%

community: 1%

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Authors:

RyanBeck

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ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Environment & Climate

Technology

2024 Leaderboard

United States

EV sales reach new highs in Australia, making up nearly 10% of car market

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Electric Vehicle Boom Is (Predictably) Out of Gas

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

US EPA approves California plan to ban gas-only cars starting in 2035

One America•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12-23

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

55%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Environment & Climate

Technology

2024 Leaderboard

United States

EV sales reach new highs in Australia, making up nearly 10% of car market

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Electric Vehicle Boom Is (Predictably) Out of Gas

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

US EPA approves California plan to ban gas-only cars starting in 2035

One America•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12-23

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

55%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

Comments

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?