Question

Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?

Resolved :No1%

58 comments58

Total Forecasters495

Community Prediction1% (0.5% - 1.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

35.4

Community Peer Score

49.2

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Nov 30, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 20, 2024

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Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

19%

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

62%

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12-28

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