Question

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters430

Community Prediction4%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

median 4.0%mean 8.3%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Geopolitics

Pakistan

India

Indo-Pakistani wars and conflicts

India will not travel to Pakistan for ICC Champions Trophy 2025: PCB

Al Jazeera•Nov 11, 2024

Parts of Manipur state in northeast India shut down after 10 people killed by security forces

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

Pakistan Scrabble team says denied visas to compete in India: ‘Deliberate and planned’

Independent•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

83%

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Geopolitics

Pakistan

India

Indo-Pakistani wars and conflicts

India will not travel to Pakistan for ICC Champions Trophy 2025: PCB

Al Jazeera•Nov 11, 2024

Parts of Manipur state in northeast India shut down after 10 people killed by security forces

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

Pakistan Scrabble team says denied visas to compete in India: ‘Deliberate and planned’

Independent•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

83%

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

15%