Question

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters406

Community Prediction3%

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community: 2.5%

median 2.5%mean 5.2%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Geopolitics

Eritrea

Ethiopia

Eritrean–Ethiopian border conflict

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

35%

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Geopolitics

Eritrea

Ethiopia

Eritrean–Ethiopian border conflict

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Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

35%

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Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Comments

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?