Question

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

50 comments50

Total Forecasters468

Community Prediction96%

Make a Prediction

community: 96%

median 96.0%mean 94.5%

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Politics

Speaker of the US House of Representatives

Mike Johnson (Louisiana politician)

2024 United States Senate elections

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

30%

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

99%

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?

45%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Politics

Speaker of the US House of Representatives

Mike Johnson (Louisiana politician)

2024 United States Senate elections

Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s Work Isn’t Done Yet

FOX News•Oct 1, 2024

Speaker Johnson lays out agenda for Republicans as they fight to hold House majority

Associated Press•Oct 2, 2024

How Mike Johnson's Big Decision Could Impact Helene Relief Efforts

Newsweek•Oct 7, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

30%

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

99%

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?

45%

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?

Comments

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?