Question

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

47 comments47

Total Forecasters469

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

median 99.0%mean 96.6%

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Politics

Speaker of the US House of Representatives

Mike Johnson (Louisiana politician)

2024 United States Senate elections

Speaker Johnson’s ‘epic’ weekend with Trump shows strengths and limits of his power

Associated Press•Nov 19, 2024

Hakeem Jeffries wins second term as House Dem leader

New York Post•Nov 19, 2024

Hakeem Jeffries elected House Democratic leader as GOP is set to retain control of lower chamber

CBS•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

99%

Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?

99.9%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Politics

Speaker of the US House of Representatives

Mike Johnson (Louisiana politician)

2024 United States Senate elections

Speaker Johnson’s ‘epic’ weekend with Trump shows strengths and limits of his power

Associated Press•Nov 19, 2024

Hakeem Jeffries wins second term as House Dem leader

New York Post•Nov 19, 2024

Hakeem Jeffries elected House Democratic leader as GOP is set to retain control of lower chamber

CBS•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

99%

Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?

99.9%