Question

Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs in 2024?

Resolved :Yes

26 comments26

Total Forecasters499

Community Prediction56%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 56%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

5.5

Community Peer Score

6.4

median 56.0%mean 51.9%

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Regulation of AI

Law

Politics

Artificial Intelligence

US Congress

Linguistics

Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced? → When will GPT5 be announced?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Regulation of AI

Law

Politics

Artificial Intelligence

US Congress

Linguistics

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