Question

To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?

Resolved :No

16 comments16

Total Forecasters170

Community Prediction35%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

4.7

Community Peer Score

30.9

median 35.0%mean 36.9%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Breakthrough Initiatives

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

10%

Private Citizen Space Travel: Participation, Place, and Price

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Breakthrough Initiatives

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Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

10%