🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the 2024 Indonesian presidential election go to a runoff?

Resolved :No30%
11
14
Total Forecasters91
Community Prediction30% (25% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-26.3
Community Peer Score
36.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jeremy.sitorus37
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Elections
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
Indonesia
Anies Baswedan
Prabowo Subianto
Ganjar Pranowo

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