Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term?

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11
65 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
Kamala Harris
95%
Ron DeSantis
93%
Nikki Haley
92.5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
91%
Donald Trump
80%
Chris Christie
67.8%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
65%
Joe Biden
30%
Learn more about scores here.
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