More than 200k UK houses built?

conditional

condition

Labour Majority After Next UK Election?

Resolved :Yes

7 forecasters

if yes

if no

More than 200k UK houses built?

20%

More than 200k UK houses built?

Resolved :Annulled6%

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Labour Majority After Next UK Election?	More than 200k UK houses built?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 20%

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Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Office for National Statistics (UK)

UK general election

Conservative Party (UK)

Brexit

Rishi Sunak

United Kingdom

Scottish National Party

House of Commons of the UK

England

UK housing crisis: what does Labour’s shake-up of planning rules involve?

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Housing must take priority over nature, says Starmer in green belt reform plan

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Why 2025 could redefine politics

Spectator (UK)•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will England build at least 1.5 million new homes over the current parliamentary term?

25%

Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales, during the next Parliament?

20%

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Office for National Statistics (UK)

UK general election

Conservative Party (UK)

Brexit

Rishi Sunak

United Kingdom

Scottish National Party

House of Commons of the UK

England

UK housing crisis: what does Labour’s shake-up of planning rules involve?

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Housing must take priority over nature, says Starmer in green belt reform plan

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Why 2025 could redefine politics

Spectator (UK)•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will England build at least 1.5 million new homes over the current parliamentary term?

25%

Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales, during the next Parliament?

20%

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

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Labour Majority After Next UK Election?

More than 200k UK houses built?

More than 200k UK houses built?

Make a Prediction

Labour Majority After Next UK Election?

More than 200k UK houses built?

Forecast Timeline

Will England build at least 1.5 million new homes over the current parliamentary term?

Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales, during the next Parliament?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

Comments

Will England build at least 1.5 million new homes over the current parliamentary term?

Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales, during the next Parliament?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

Will England build at least 1.5 million new homes over the current parliamentary term?

Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales, during the next Parliament?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

Will England build at least 1.5 million new homes over the current parliamentary term?

Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales, during the next Parliament?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?