🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the UK Conservative and Unionist Party retain their parliamentary seat in the 2024 Kingswood by-election ?

Resolved :No25%
1
8
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction25% (15% - 34%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
1.5
Community Peer Score
-5.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrisonKaleem
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
United Kingdom
Chris Skidmore
Kingswood (UK Parliament constituency)
Conservative Party (UK)

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