Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

conditional

condition

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Closed

24 forecasters

if yes

if no

Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

50%

Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

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Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?	Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 50%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution

Democratic Party (US)

US Electoral College

United States

Joe Biden

After Trump's victory, where do the Democrats go from here?

NBC•Nov 12, 2024

Democrats sift through 'unmitigated disaster' after Trump victory: ANALYSIS

•Nov 12, 2024

One election victory does not make a new era in American politics − here’s what history shows

The Conversation•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? → Annual Real Return on S&P500 from 2022-2031

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Trump in power beyond 2028?

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? → Will Joe Biden Grant Clemency to Hunter?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution

Democratic Party (US)

US Electoral College

United States

Joe Biden

After Trump's victory, where do the Democrats go from here?

NBC•Nov 12, 2024

Democrats sift through 'unmitigated disaster' after Trump victory: ANALYSIS

•Nov 12, 2024

One election victory does not make a new era in American politics − here’s what history shows

The Conversation•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch