Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

conditional
condition

Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033?

8 forecasters
if yes
if no

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

80%
80%

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

58%
58%
1
2

Make a Prediction

Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033?

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

50%
community: 80.3%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
DavidHume
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Nanotechnology
Total factor productivity
Chemistry
Photolithography
China
Netherlands
Industrial processes
ASML Holding
Krypton fluoride laser
Lists of countries by GDP

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