Question

Will OpenAI offer ChatGPT in China before 2026?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction7%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 7%

median 7.0%mean 10.8%

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

When A.I. Turns Rogue: How Chatbots Could Become Accomplice to Crime

Observer (NY)•Nov 13, 2024

OpenAI’s take on AI agents could come in January

TechCrunch•Nov 14, 2024

ChatGPT can now read some of your Mac’s desktop apps

TechCrunch•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?

23.5%

Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026?

How many months after a Western actor trains a 1e26 FLOP model (~5x GPT-4) will a Chinese actor do so?

11.5

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

When A.I. Turns Rogue: How Chatbots Could Become Accomplice to Crime

Observer (NY)•Nov 13, 2024

OpenAI’s take on AI agents could come in January

TechCrunch•Nov 14, 2024

ChatGPT can now read some of your Mac’s desktop apps

TechCrunch•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?

23.5%

Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026?

How many months after a Western actor trains a 1e26 FLOP model (~5x GPT-4) will a Chinese actor do so?

11.5