🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

conditional
condition

Will Biden and Trump Debate in 2024?

Resolved :Yes
45 forecasters
if yes
if no

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

60%
60%
Resolved :Yes60%

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

49%
49%
Resolved :Annulled48.7%
5
3

Make a Prediction

Will Biden and Trump Debate in 2024?

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

50%
community: 60%
Community Baseline Score
-2.1
Community Peer Score
9.1
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Conditional Cup
Elections
2024 Leaderboard
Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution
Democratic Party (US)
Republican Party (US)
US Electoral College
United States
2024 Elections (US)
Joe Biden
Donald Trump

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