Question

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction0.5% (0.1% - 3%)

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50%

community: 0.5%

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Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Is Francafrique ending? Why Senegal is cutting military ties with France

Al Jazeera•Dec 16, 2024

Somalia, Ethiopia agree on compromise to end tension, Turkish leader says

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Ethiopia and Somalia agree to hold ‘technical talks’ over breakaway Somaliland region

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

40%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Is Francafrique ending? Why Senegal is cutting military ties with France

Al Jazeera•Dec 16, 2024

Somalia, Ethiopia agree on compromise to end tension, Turkish leader says

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Ethiopia and Somalia agree to hold ‘technical talks’ over breakaway Somaliland region

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

40%

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Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Comments

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?