Question

Will the cost of sequencing a human genome in 2031 be less than the value of one hour of US labor productivity?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction70.5% (43% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70.5%

Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Feb 16, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2032

Economy & Business

Natural Sciences

Technology

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Our World in Data

Workforce productivity

DeepSeek: The Starter Gun For Physical AI Just Got Fired

Forbes•Feb 13, 2025

How DeepSeek's new AI models are impacting the profits of global companies

CNBC•Feb 16, 2025

Why the AI world is suddenly obsessed with a 160-year-old economics paradox

NPR Online News•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a full human genome in the following years?

341

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

54.9%

What will be the cost of sequencing a whole human genome in 2026 (in 2021 USD)?

118

Comments

? comments