Question

Will a new or extended state of emergency be declared in Ecuador before April 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes

3 comments3

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction73%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 73%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

25.1

Community Peer Score

15.9

median 73.0%mean 73.3%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

Ecuador

Who will win the 2025 election for President of Ecuador?

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

91%

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

79%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

Ecuador

Death toll of riot in Ecuador’s largest and most dangerous prison rises to 17

Associated Press•Nov 14, 2024

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Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

Ecuador declares 60-day state of emergency to help battle wildfires

Al Jazeera•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will win the 2025 election for President of Ecuador?

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

91%

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

79%