Question

Will a new or extended state of emergency be declared in Ecuador before April 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes

3 comments3

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction73%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 73%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

25.1

Community Peer Score

15.9

median 73.0%mean 73.3%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

Ecuador

Who will win the 2025 election for President of Ecuador?

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

91%

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

79%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

Ecuador

‘I’m switched off’: frustration and fatigue as power cuts keep Ecuador in the dark

Guardian•Nov 11, 2024

Ecuador prison violence kills at least 15

Associated Press•Nov 13, 2024

At Least 15 People Killed, 14 Injured in Prison Fight

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will win the 2025 election for President of Ecuador?

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

91%

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

79%