Question

Will gang leader José Adolfo Macías Villamar ('Fito') be in Ecuadorian custody before April 1, 2024?

Resolved :No

2 comments2

Total Forecasters97

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

76.4

Community Peer Score

6.2

median 1.0%mean 4.1%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

Argentina

Ecuador

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

91%

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

75%

Will any inmate successfully escape from ADX Florence before January 1, 2050?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

Argentina

Ecuador

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Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

91%

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

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