🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the National Assembly of Hungary approve Sweden's NATO accession before March 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes97.5%
13
32
Total Forecasters166
Community Prediction97.5% (92% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 97.5%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
20.0
Community Peer Score
15.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Langley
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Geopolitics
2024 Leaderboard
Turkey
National Assembly (Hungary)
Russo-Ukrainian War
Grand National Assembly of Turkey
Finland
Sweden
NATO

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