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Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Forecast Timeline
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| Country | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Singapore | 89% | |||
Vietnam | 85% | |||
Taiwan | 73% | |||
The United Arab Emirates | 65% | |||
Thailand | 60% | |||
India | 60% | |||
Malaysia | 56% | |||
Saudi Arabia | 50.2% | |||
The Philippines | 20% | |||
Indonesia | 19.9% | |||
Mexico | 11.9% | |||
Sri Lanka | 9.9% | |||
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2026
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2026
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch