M

Question

What will the number of votes cast in the 2024 US presidential election be?

Resolved :155M157M
Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction157M (153M - 161M)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<140M1.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%152.7M
median156.8M
upper 75%160.8M
Upper bound
>170M4.0%

What was the final result?155M

Community Baseline Score
35.0
Community Peer Score
2.8
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolves:Mar 1, 2025

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