Question
What will the number of votes cast in the 2024 US presidential election be?
Resolved :155M157MTotal Forecasters9
Community Prediction157M (153M - 161M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<140M | 1.2% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 152.7M | — |
median | 156.8M | — |
upper 75% | 160.8M | — |
Upper bound | ||
>170M | 4.0% | — |
What was the final result?155M
Community Baseline Score
35.0
Community Peer Score
2.8
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolves:Mar 1, 2025
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2024
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolves:Mar 1, 2025