Group

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Forecast Timeline

2040

2035

2030

2025

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
2040	70%

2035	58%

2030	35%

2025	1%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

Robotics

China

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?

11%

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

Robotics

China

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?

11%

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Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

Comments

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?