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Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Forecast Timeline
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| Candidates | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Google DeepMind | 40.3% | |||
Microsoft | 28.6% | |||
Meta | 21% | |||
Apple | 15% | |||
Amazon | 15% | |||
xAI | 11.8% | |||
Inflection | 11% | |||
Perplexity AI | 11% | |||
Cohere | 10% | |||
IBM | 9.7% | |||
Mistral AI | 9% | |||
C3.ai | 8% | |||
Baidu | 6% | |||
AI21 | 6% | |||
Hugging Face | 5% | |||
Alibaba | 4% | |||