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Will we reach 2050 without the development of artificial general intelligence and without a major global conflict occurring?
15
4 comments
4
1d
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2m
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Total Forecasters
90
Community Prediction
5%
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50%
community: 5%
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Background Info
Histogram
median
5.0%
mean
15.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AGI Outcomes
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Natural Sciences
China
Cognitive science
Toby Ord
World War III
United States
Artificial general intelligence
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Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AGI Outcomes
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Natural Sciences
China
Cognitive science
Toby Ord
World War III
United States
Artificial general intelligence
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
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Nov 12, 2024
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
How AI Is Redefining Our Understanding of Risk | Opinion
Newsweek
•
Nov 11, 2024
A Roadmap to AI Utopia
Time
•
Nov 12, 2024
AI Can Save Humanity—Or End It
Atlantic
•
Nov 13, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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