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Will we reach 2050 without the development of artificial general intelligence and without a major global conflict occurring?
15
4 comments
4
1d
1w
2m
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Total Forecasters
90
Community Prediction
5%
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community: 5%
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Background Info
Histogram
median
5.0%
mean
15.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AGI Outcomes
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Natural Sciences
China
Cognitive science
Toby Ord
World War III
United States
Artificial general intelligence
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Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AGI Outcomes
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Natural Sciences
China
Cognitive science
Toby Ord
World War III
United States
Artificial general intelligence
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Conflict surges in 28 countries, global trade facing elevated threats
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Oct 23, 2024
Growing Threat to Global Peace
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Oct 23, 2024
Are you ready for the baby wars?
Spectator (UK)
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Oct 23, 2024
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Conflict surges in 28 countries, global trade facing elevated threats
•
Oct 23, 2024
Growing Threat to Global Peace
•
Oct 23, 2024
Are you ready for the baby wars?
Spectator (UK)
•
Oct 23, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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