Question

Will an independent review find UNRWA staff involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks?

Resolved :Ambiguous29%

45 comments45

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction29% (7% - 40%)

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50%

community: 29%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

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lbiii

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Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

When will Palestine become a full UN member state?

2042-01-11

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

0.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

World Central Kitchen Fires Dozens of Workers After Israel Links Them to Terror

Breitbart•Dec 13, 2024

Lawsuit accuses State Department of creating loopholes for Israel on military aid and human rights

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

US State Department Sued by Palestinians Over Military Aid to Israel

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

When will Palestine become a full UN member state?

2042-01-11

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

0.1%

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Will an independent review find UNRWA staff involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks?

Make a Prediction

Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

When will Palestine become a full UN member state?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Comments

Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

When will Palestine become a full UN member state?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

When will Palestine become a full UN member state?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

When will Palestine become a full UN member state?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?