Group

When will the first company with a market cap above the given figures be openly run by an AI CEO?

3 comments3

17 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

$1 trillion

$1 billion

Make a Prediction

Market cap

median

PDF

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Mar 12, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Business of AI

Future of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Market capitalization

Leadership

Chief executive officer

Robotics

Machine learning

Management

US Consumer Price Index

OpenAI

Philosophy of mind

How AI will divide the best from the rest

Economist•Feb 14, 2025

Inside the launch — and future — of ChatGPT

Verge•Feb 16, 2025

AI Will Evolve Into an Organizational Strategy for All

Wired•Feb 16, 2025

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When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?

When will the market for industrial robots reach $100 trillion in size?

2036-10-20

Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?

17%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Mar 12, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Business of AI

Future of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Market capitalization

Leadership

Chief executive officer

Robotics

Machine learning

Management

US Consumer Price Index

OpenAI

Philosophy of mind

How AI will divide the best from the rest

Economist•Feb 14, 2025

Inside the launch — and future — of ChatGPT

Verge•Feb 16, 2025

AI Will Evolve Into an Organizational Strategy for All

Wired•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?

When will the market for industrial robots reach $100 trillion in size?

2036-10-20

Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?

17%