Question

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Resolved :No0.1%

2 comments2

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

98.3

Community Peer Score

7.1

Authors:

penti

Opened:

Jan 30, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Geopolitics

2024 Leaderboard

Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council

Charter of the United Nations

George Robertson, Baron Robertson of Port Ellen

Afghanistan

North Atlantic Treaty

Trump considering major NATO policy shift

NBC•Mar 7, 2025

Trump Weighs Overhaul of NATO Commitments Based on Defense Spending: Report

Newsweek•Mar 7, 2025

Trump Says U.S. Won’t Defend NATO Allies Behind On Defense Spending: ‘It’s Common Sense’

Forbes•Mar 7, 2025

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