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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026?

Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction4%

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community: 4%
median 4.0%mean 6.7%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%


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