Question

Will the Republican Party retain Ohio's 6th congressional district (previously held by Bill Johnson) in the 2024 special election?

Resolved :Yes99%

2 comments2

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

86.6

Community Peer Score

10.0

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Kaleem

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2024 Leaderboard

Ohio's 6th congressional district

Bill Johnson

Youngstown State University

Mike DeWine

Republican Party (US)

Trump Doubles Down on Supporting Johnson

Townhall•Jan 1, 2025

What to know about race for speaker of the House

FOX News•Jan 2, 2025

Mike Johnson Faces Tough Path to Retain House Speaker Role

•Jan 3, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

25%

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

23%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Kaleem

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2024 Leaderboard

Ohio's 6th congressional district

Bill Johnson

Youngstown State University

Mike DeWine

Republican Party (US)

Trump Doubles Down on Supporting Johnson

Townhall•Jan 1, 2025

What to know about race for speaker of the House

FOX News•Jan 2, 2025

Mike Johnson Faces Tough Path to Retain House Speaker Role

•Jan 3, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

25%

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

23%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

MetaculusM

Will the Republican Party retain Ohio's 6th congressional district (previously held by Bill Johnson) in the 2024 special election?

Make a Prediction

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Comments

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?