🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the snow water equivalent of California's snowpack on March 31, 2024?

Resolved :21.621.2
7
6
Total Forecasters72
Community Prediction21.2 (20.7 - 21.7)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<10
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>35
...
...
...
...
...
0.5%
20.66
21.17
21.67
3.2%

What was the final result?21.6

Community Baseline Score
30.1
Community Peer Score
27.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Environment & Climate
2024 Leaderboard
Physics
Cascade Range
Earth science
Natural Resources Conservation Service
US Department of Agriculture
SNOTEL
Snow science
Climatology
Sierra Nevada (U.S.)

Comments

? comments